5G Wireless Ecosystem Market: 2015 – 2025 – Technologies, Applications, Verticals, Strategies & Forecasts

Driven by regional, national government, wireless carrier and vendor initiatives, we expect 5G R&D and trial investments will account for nearly $5 Billion by 2020, following a CAGR of nearly 40% over the next 5 years. While LTE and LTE-Advanced deployments are still underway, wireless carriers and vendors have already embarked on R&D initiatives to develop so-called “5G” technology, with a vision of commercialization by 2020.

While LTE and LTE-Advanced deployments are still underway, wireless carriers and vendors have already embarked on R&D initiatives to develop so-called “5G” technology, with a vision of commercialization by 2020.

5G is essentially a revolutionary paradigm shift in wireless networking to support the throughput, latency, and scalability requirements of future use cases such as extreme bandwidth augmented reality applications and connectivity management for billions of M2M (Machine to Machine) devices.

Although 5G is yet to be standardized, some of the collectively accepted attributes of the technology include new air interface transmission schemes, new spectrum bands, spectrum aggregation, Massive MIMO, beamforming, D2D (Device to Device) communications and self-backhauling, among others.

Driven by regional, national government, wireless carrier and vendor initiatives, we expect 5G R&D and trial investments will account for nearly $5 Billion by 2020, following a CAGR of nearly 40% over the next 5 years.

The “5G Wireless Ecosystem Market: 2015 – 2025 – Technologies, Applications, Verticals, Strategies & Forecasts” report presents an in-depth assessment of the emerging 5G ecosystem including key market drivers, challenges, enabling technologies, use cases, vertical market applications, spectrum bands, wireless carrier deployment commitments and vendor strategies. The report also presents forecasts for both 5G investments and subscriptions.

The report comes with an associated Excel datasheet suite covering quantitative data from all numeric forecasts presented in the report.

Key Findings:

The report has the following key findings:

  • Driven by regional, national government, wireless carrier and vendor initiatives, we expect 5G R&D and trial investments will account for nearly $5 Billion by 2020, following a CAGR of nearly 40% over the next 5 years
  • Nearly 70% of these investments will target large scale commercial trial networks in Japan, South Korea and other early pioneering countries
  • Despite a lack of standardization, vendors are aggressively investing in 5G development efforts with a principal focus on new transmission schemes, antenna technologies, and higher frequency bands
  • 5G networks are expected to utilize a variety of spectrum bands, ranging from established cellular bands to millimeter wave frequencies
  • 5G standardization activities are expected to commence between 2015 and 2016

Topics Covered:

The report covers the following topics:

  • 5G requirements, use cases & vertical market applications
  • 5G market drivers and barriers
  • Air interface & antenna technologies: Massive MIMO, waveforms, phased array antennas & beamforming
  • Spectrum technologies: Cognitive radio, spectrum sensing, aggregation & LSA (Licensed Shared Access)
  • D2D communications & self-backhauling networks
  • Complimentary technologies for 5G: NFV (Network Functions Virtualization), SDN (Software Defined Networking), HetNet (Heterogeneous Networking), C-RAN (Cloud RAN), drones & satellites
  • Spectrum options for 5G
  • Standardization & research initiatives
  • Competitive assessment of vendor strategies & commitments to 5G
  • 5G investment and subscription forecasts from 2015 till 2025

Historical Revenue & Forecast Segmentation:

Market forecasts are provided for each of the following regional submarkets:

  • Asia Pacific
  • Eastern Europe
  • Latin & Central America
  • Middle East & Africa
  • North America
  • Western Europe

Key Questions Answered:

The report provides answers to the following key questions:

  • How much will vendors and operators invest in 5G R&D and trial commitments?
  • What will the number of 5G subscriptions in 2025 and at what rate will it grow?
  • What will be the key applications of 5G networks?
  • What trends, challenges and barriers will influence the development and adoption of 5G?
  • Which regions and countries will be the first to adopt 5G?
  • Will 5G networks utilize new spectrum bands?
  • Who are the key 5G vendors and what are their strategies?
  • Will 5G be a C-RAN centric network?
  • What will be the impact of 5G on the M2M and IoT ecosystem?
  • Will drone and satellite based communication platforms play a wider role in 5G networks?

List of Companies Mentioned

  • 3GPP (Third Generation Partnership Project)
  • Aalborg University
  • Aalto-University
  • Aeroflex
  • Aircom International
  • Alcatel-Lucent
  • Alpental Technologies
  • Anite
  • ARIB (Association of Radio Industries and Businesses, Japan)
  • Ascenta
  • Ascom International
  • BBC
  • BMW
  • BT
  • Chalmers University of Technology
  • China Mobile
  • Connected Digital Catapult
  • DoCoMo Euro-Labs
  • DT (Deutsche Telekom)
  • EE
  • EM3 (Enterprise M3)
  • Ericsson
  • Etisalat
  • European Commission
  • Facebook
  • Fraunhofer-Gesellschaft
  • Fujitsu
  • Fujitsu Laboratories of Europe
  • Google
  • GSMA (GSM Association)
  • Huawei
  • IBM
  • Institut Mines-Télécom
  • Intel
  • ITRI (Industrial Technology Research Institute)
  • ITU (International Telecommunication Union)
  • KTH Royal Institute of Technology
  • MegaFon
  • Ministry of Industry, Development and Reform Commission, China
  • MOST (Ministry of Science & Technology, China)
  • MSIP (Ministry of Science, ICT and Future Planning, Korea)
  • National and Kapodistrian University of Athens
  • NEC
  • New York University
  • NGMN (Next Generation Mobile Networks) Alliance
  • Nokia
  • Nokia Networks
  • NTT DoCoMo
  • Ofcom
  • Orange
  • Poznan University of Technology
  • Qualcomm
  • Rohde & Schwarz
  • Roke Manor
  • RWTH Aachen
  • Samsung
  • SES S.A.
  • SingTel
  • SK Telecom
  • Telecom Italia
  • Telefónica
  • TIA (Telecommunications Industry Association)
  • Titan Aerospace
  • Universitaet Bremen
  • Universitat Politècnica de València
  • University of Kaiserslautern
  • University of Oulu
  • University of Surrey
  • Vodafone
  • ZTE

Table of Contents   
1 Chapter 1: Introduction 8
1.1 Executive Summary 8
1.2 Topics Covered 10
1.3 Historical Revenue & Forecast Segmentation 11
1.4 Key Questions Answered 12
1.5 Key Findings 13
1.6 Methodology 14
1.7 Target Audience 15
1.8 Companies & Organizations Mentioned 16
2 Chapter 2: The Evolving 5G Ecosystem 19
2.1 What is 5G? 19
2.2 5G Requirements 19
2.2.1 Data Volume 20
2.2.2 Throughput 20
2.2.3 Response Time & Latency 20
2.2.4 Device Density 20
2.2.5 Availability & Coverage 20
2.2.6 Battery Life 21
2.2.7 Energy Saving & Cost Reduction 21
2.3 5G Market Drivers 22
2.3.1 Why the Need for a 5G Standard? 22
2.3.2 Improving Spectrum Utilization 22
2.3.3 Advances in Air Interface Transmission Schemes 22
2.3.4 Gigabit Wireless Connectivity: Supporting Future Services 23
2.3.5 Moving Towards IoT (Internet of Things): Increasing Device Density 23
2.3.6 Towards a Flatter Network Architecture 23
2.4 Challenges & Inhibitors to 5G 24
2.4.1 Skepticism 24
2.4.2 Standardization Challenges: Too Many Stakeholders 24
2.4.3 Spectrum Regulation & Complexities 24
2.4.4 Massive MIMO, Beamforming & Antenna Technology Issues 25
2.4.5 Higher Frequencies Mean New Infrastructure 25
2.4.6 Complex Performance Requirements 26
2.4.7 Energy Efficiency & Technology Scaling 26
2.5 5G Applications & Use Cases 27
2.5.1 Extreme Bandwidth Applications: Video, Internet Gaming & Augmented Reality 27
2.5.2 MTC/M2M, IoT & Ubiquitous Communications 27
2.5.2.1 Short-burst Traffic 28
2.5.3 Vertical Industries & Safety Critical Domains 28
2.5.3.1 Automotive 28
2.5.3.2 Energy & Smart Grids 29
2.5.3.3 Transport & Logistics 29
2.5.3.4 Healthcare 29
2.5.3.5 Smart Cities 29
2.5.3.6 Public Safety 30
2.5.3.7 Fitness & Sports 30
3 Chapter 3: Enabling Technologies for 5G 31
3.1 Key Technologies & Concepts 31
3.1.1 Air Interface: Waveform Options 31
3.1.2 Massive MIMO 32
3.1.3 Phased Array Antennas 33
3.1.4 Beamforming 33
3.1.5 D2D (Device to Device) Communications 34
3.1.6 Self-Backhauling & Mesh Networking 35
3.1.7 Cognitive Radio & Spectrum Sensing 35
3.1.8 LSA (Licensed Shared Access) 36
3.1.9 Spectrum Aggregation 37
3.1.10 Integration of VLC (Visible Light Communication) 37
3.2 Complimentary Technologies 38
3.2.1 NFV & SDN 38
3.2.2 HetNet & C-RAN Architecture 39
3.2.2.1 Will C-RAN be the Default 5G Network Architecture? 39
3.2.3 Drones & Satellites 41
3.2.3.1 Satellite Integration in 5G Networks 41
3.2.3.2 Google and Facebook’s Drone Ambitions 41
3.2.3.3 Interest from Wireless Carriers 41
4 Chapter 4: 5G Investments & Future Forecast 42
4.1 How much is being invested in 5G? 42
4.2 Global 5G Subscriptions: 2020 – 2025 43
4.2.1 Asia Pacific 5G Subscriptions: 2020 – 2025 44
4.2.2 Eastern Europe 5G Subscriptions: 2020 – 2025 44
4.2.3 Latin & Central America 5G Subscriptions: 2020 – 2025 45
4.2.4 Middle East & Africa 5G Subscriptions: 2020 – 2025 45
4.2.5 North America 5G Subscriptions: 2020 – 2025 46
4.2.6 Western Europe 5G Subscriptions: 2020 – 2025 46
5 Chapter 5: Spectrum Implications for 5G 47
5.1 Spectrum Options for 5G 47
5.2 Sub-1 GHz 47
5.3 3-4 GHz 48
5.4 5 GHz 48
5.5 15 GHz 48
5.6 28 GHz 48
5.7 60/70/80 GHz 48
5.8 Higher Bands 49
6 Chapter 6: 5G Standardization & Research Initiatives 50
6.1 ITU-R (ITU Radiocommunications Sector) 50
6.2 3GPP (Third Generation Partnership Project) 51
6.3 GSMA (GSM Association) 51
6.4 NGMN (Next Generation Mobile Networks) Alliance 52
6.5 TIA (Telecommunications Industry Association) 52
6.6 European Commission Initiatives 53
6.6.1 METIS 53
6.6.2 5GPPP 54
6.6.3 5GNOW 54
6.7 National Government Initiatives 55
6.7.1 Korea’s 5G Forum 55
6.7.2 Japan’s ARIB 20B AH (2020 and Beyond AdHoc) 55
6.7.3 China’s IMT-2020 55
6.7.4 China’s 863-5G Project 55
6.8 Academic Initiatives 56
6.8.1 5GIC (5G Innovation Center, University of Surrey) 56
6.8.2 NYU WIRELESS (New York University) 56
7 Chapter 7: Vendor Demonstrations, Commitments & Strategies 57
7.1 Alcatel-Lucent 57
7.1.1 5G Strategy 57
7.1.2 Demonstrations & Trial Commitments 57
7.2 Ericsson 58
7.2.1 5G Strategy 58
7.2.2 Demonstrations & Trial Commitments 58
7.3 Fujitsu 59
7.3.1 5G Strategy 59
7.3.2 Demonstrations & Trial Commitments 59
7.4 Huawei 60
7.4.1 5G Strategy 60
7.4.2 Demonstrations & Trial Commitments 60
7.5 Intel 61
7.5.1 5G Strategy 61
7.5.2 Demonstrations & Trial Commitments 61
7.6 NEC 62
7.6.1 5G Strategy 62
7.6.2 Demonstrations & Trial Commitments 62
7.7 Nokia Networks 63
7.7.1 5G Strategy 63
7.7.2 Demonstrations & Trial Commitments 63
7.8 Qualcomm 64
7.8.1 5G Strategy 64
7.8.2 Demonstrations & Trial Commitments 64
7.9 Samsung 65
7.9.1 5G Strategy 65
7.9.2 Demonstrations & Trial Commitments 65
7.10 ZTE 66
7.10.1 5G Strategy 66
7.10.2 Demonstrations & Trial Commitments 66

List of Figures
Figure 1: 5G Requirements 19
Figure 2: Potential Waveform Options for 5G 31
Figure 3: D2D Communication Scenarios 34
Figure 4: LSA Concept 36
Figure 5: C-RAN Architecture 40
Figure 6: Global Investments in 5G R&D & Trials: 2010 – 2020 ($ Million) 42
Figure 7: 5G Subscriptions by Region: 2020 – 2025 (Millions) 43
Figure 8: Asia Pacific 5G Subscriptions: 2020 – 2025 (Millions) 44
Figure 9: Eastern Europe 5G Subscriptions: 2020 – 2025 (Millions) 44
Figure 10: Latin & Central America 5G Subscriptions: 2020 – 2025 (Millions) 45
Figure 11: Middle East & Africa 5G Subscriptions: 2020 – 2025 (Millions) 45
Figure 12: North America 5G Subscriptions: 2020 – 2025 (Millions) 46
Figure 13: Western Europe 5G Subscriptions: 2020 – 2025 (Millions) 46
Figure 14: Spectrum Options for 5G & Vendor Advocates 47
Figure 15: METIS Members 53

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