Global Commercial Aircraft Market 2025 – 2034

Reports Description

As per the Commercial Aircraft Market analysis conducted by CMI Team, the global Commercial Aircraft market is expected to record a CAGR of 5.4% from 2025 to 2034. In 2025, the market size is projected to reach a valuation of USD 173 Billion. By 2034, the valuation is anticipated to reach USD 279 Billion.

Overview

A commercial airplane is one that makes money by flying people or goods. Airlines or freight companies use these planes. They are designed, built, and certified to meet strict safety and performance criteria set by aviation authorities like the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) or the European Union Aviation Safety Agency. These planes come in a variety of sizes, ranges, and capacities.

Some are regional jets that fly short routes, while others are wide-body airliners that do long-haul international trips. The commercial aircraft market is driven by several factor such as the need for new planes, the need to modernize fleets, and the rise in air travel around the world. But high costs of making and keeping things running slow down business expansion.

Key Trends & Drivers                                                                                                  

• Rising air passenger traffic: The rise in air passenger traffic is a major factor in the long-term growth of the global commercial aircraft sector. Airlines are adding to their fleets, replacing old planes, and responding to changes in travel demand. Airbus, for example, predicts that air passenger traffic will grow steadily at a pace of 3.6% per year until 2044. This is because global GDP will grow by 2.5%, urban populations will grow, and 1.5 billion more people will enter the global middle class, who are more likely to travel. The number of people traveling is rising, which means that by 2044, there will be a need for 43,400 new planes, including 34,250 single-aisle jets and 9,170 widebody jets. Boeing anticipates that the number of passengers would go up by 6% in 2025. The company is focusing on growing capacity in Asia-Pacific and emerging markets, which are likely to drive global traffic growth. Boeing’s 2025 Commercial Market Outlook says that passenger air traffic would more than quadruple over the next 20 years. This will lead to the expansion of fleets around the world as new capacity and aging aircraft are replaced. Thus, the aforementioned facts drive the industry growth.

• Rising government investment and infrastructure development: The increasing government investment and infrastructure development is expected to florish the commercial aircraft market. Government connects people, make it easier for more people to fly, and bring private firms into the aviation business. These initiatives create the proper physical and policy conditions to keep demand for new planes and the services that come with them strong. Governments all across the world are building new airports and renovating old ones to meet the growing need for passengers and cargo. India intends to spend $1.83 billion on airport infrastructure and navigation services by 2026. The goal is to increase the number of airports that are open for business from 136 to 220 by 2025. These kinds of big investments in infrastructure make it easier for more planes to take off. This means that commercial airlines have to pay more for fuel because they have to fly more planes and cover new routes. The state of Uttar Pradesh helps people connect with each other and encourage private investment by doing things like patching up 14 runways and getting 225 regional routes operational with its ₹28,000 crore (FY25) budget for civil aviation infrastructure.

Challenges

• High manufacturing and maintenance costs: High costs of making and maintaining commercial aircraft make it hard for the industry to grow. This is because they limit the potential to scale up production, lower profit margins, and make fleet renewal less appealing, especially for smaller carriers and operators in emerging markets. Making commercial airplanes costs a lot of money, and production costs will make up most of the company’s total revenue costs in 2025. The prices of raw materials (such aluminum, titanium, and composites), a lack of workers, and higher energy expenses have all made it more expensive for big companies like Airbus and Boeing to make things. These companies are facing continuous supply chain issue which includes parts shortages, shipping delays, and higher tariffs on imported aerospace parts. This will be adding more expenses in the manufacturing of aircraft. Airlines also have to pay a lot for maintenance and repairs. Thus, the high manufacturing and maintenance cost hindering the market expansion.

• Stringent regulatory and safety standards: Stringent regulation and safety standards are very crucial for aviation industry, but they act as a major challenge for commercial aviation industry by making more expensive to meet the standards, delaying production schedules, and harder to get a license. Several international groups such as European Union Aviation Safety Agency (EASA), the International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO), and the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) imposed strict rules on aircraft manufacturers. To meet stricter safety and environmental criteria, aircraft projects need to be updated, changed, and tested on a regular basis. These issues make the programs cost billions of dollars more and take years longer to finish.

Opportunities

• Rising partnership: The rising number of collaborations in the commercial aircraft market offer a potential opportunity. For instance, in February 2025, Dynamatic Technologies Limited collaborated with Deutsche Aircraft at Aero India 2025, which is India’s biggest airshow and takes place in Bangalore. Dynamatic is hosting the Deutsche Aircraft team at chalet 40. This is a huge step forward for the aviation industry and supports the “Make in India” policy. The collaboration makes supply chain more resilient and show a strong support to the Indian aviation sector.

• Technological advancements: Technological innovation in aerospace have a transformational change to commercial aviation by making it more environmentally friendly, more efficient, and allowing for new business models. Digitization, automation, and cleaner propulsion technologies are all together how planes are constructed, flown, and kept up. The move to cleaner aircraft is pushing the development of new propulsion and fuel systems. For instance, Airbus is working on hydrogen-powered planes with open-fan engines that will be 20–30% more fuel-efficient than current models. These planes are expected to be ready in the late 2030s. In future blended-wing designs, hybrid-electric propulsion might cut CO₂ emissions by as much as 40%. Thus, these technological innovation supports the industry expansion.

Category Wise Insights

By Aircraft Type

• Narrow Body: The narrow body segment dominates the market. The segment expansion is driven by several factor such as increasing global air passenger traffic, enhanced fuel efficiency, strong demand from low-cost carriers (LCCs) operating short- to medium-haul routes.

• Wide Body: The wide body segment is growing at a rapid pace. The segment expansion is owing to the increasing international travel. According to UN Tourism, almost 690 million tourists travelled internationally between January and June 2025, about 33 million more than in the same period of 2024.

• Regional and Business Jet: The regional and business jet segment is expected to capture the largest market share. The expanding number of high-net-worth individuals and multinational organizations globally drives up demand for business jets for private, efficient, and flexible travel. Business jets offer time-saving point-to-point connectivity and privacy that commercial aircraft cannot give.

• Freighter: The freighter segment is expected to capture the largest market share. The exponential rise of global e-commerce requires speedier, time-sensitive delivery services, considerably increasing demand for dedicated freighter aircraft to serve expanding logistics networks.

By Size

• Small Aircraft: The small aircraft experiencing a significant revenue expansion over the forecast period. Smaller aircraft enable airlines to match capacity to demand on regional or less dense routes, lowering operational costs and increasing profitability when compared to larger jets that may be underutilized. Thus, driving the industry growth.

• Medium Aircraft: The medium aircraft segment holds the largest market share over the forecast period. Medium aircraft are useful for connecting secondary cities and regional hubs where passenger volumes require more capacity than small aircraft, driving demand in both emerging and developed economies. Thus, driving the market growth.

• Large Aircraft: The large aircraft segment capture a prominent revenue share in 2024. The segment rise is owing to the growing air passenger traffic and increasing e-commerce sector.

By Application

• Passenger: The passenger segment dominates the sector. This increase is supported by sustained increases in global air passenger traffic, rising disposable incomes, and expanding connectivity.

• Cargo: The cargo segment growing at a rapid rate owing to the rising cargo demand. Global air cargo demand has constantly increased by more than 5% YoY. This expansion is attributed to the increased capacity in important regions such as the Asia-Pacific and Latin America.

Report Scope

Regional Analysis

The regional market is divided into North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific, and LAMEA. Here is a brief overview of each region:

• North America: North America dominates the commercial aircraft market. The region’s commercial aviation growth is still going strong due to the presence of major aircraft manufacturers, more e-commerce shipping, and more low-cost carrier activity. Boeing, one of the world’s largest aircraft manufacturers, is based in the United States. The country’s aviation industry is well-established and always needs more planes and upgrades. To cut expenses and follow tight environmental restrictions, North American airlines are spending a lot of funding on fuel-efficient planes.

• Europe: Europe holds a significant market share. The regional expansion is driven by the increasing passenger traffic. Growth in intra-European and international passenger travel is being driven mostly by rising disposable incomes, expanding low-cost airline operations, and a tourism boom.

• Asia-Pacific: The Asia Pacific is expected to grow at the highest CAGR during the forecast period. This is attributed to the increasing government support especially in India. Additionally, the growing e-commerce is expected to drive the market growth in the area.

• LAMEA: The LAMEA area, which includes Latin America, the Middle East, and Africa, is growing significantly over the forecast period. The rising investment in advanced technology and increasing tourism sector.

Key Developments

The key players operate in the market adopted several strategies including product launch, innovation, merger & acquisition, investment and others. Some of the notable developments are:

• In October 2025, Airbus and the Cathay Group have announced a joint investment of up to US$70 million to accelerate the development of sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) production in Asia and globally. The agreement was announced in Hong Kong on the sidelines of the IATA World Sustainability Symposium at a ceremony hosted by Cathay Chief Operations and Service Delivery Officer Alex McGowan and Airbus President Asia-Pacific Anand Stanley.

• In October 2025, Neste and United Airlines have expanded their existing partnership to supply sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) to three new major airports in the United States. The new agreement makes United the first commercial airline to purchase SAF for use on flights from George Bush Intercontinental Airport (IAH) in Houston, Newark Liberty International Airport (EWR) in New Jersey, and Dulles International Airport (IAD) in Washington D.C. As part of the agreement, Neste will supply neat Neste MY Sustainable Aviation Fuel™ to United Airlines. The sustainable aviation fuel will be blended with conventional jet fuel before use to meet jet fuel specifications.

Leading Players

The commercial aircraft market is highly competitive, with a large number of service providers globally. Some of the key players in the market include:

• General Electric (GE) Aviation
• Airbus SE
• Rolls-Royce plc
• Boeing
• Safran S.A.
• Raytheon Technologies
• Bombardier Inc.
• Embraer S.A.
• Textron Aviation
• Mitsubishi Aircraft Corporation
• COMAC
• Collins Aerospace
• Honeywell Aerospace
• MTU Aero Engines AG
• Leonardo S.p.A.
• GKN Aerospace
• Spirit AeroSystems
• Liebherr-Aerospace
• Turkish Aerospace Industries
• Others

The Commercial Aircraft Market is segmented as follows:

By Aircraft Type

• Narrow Body
• Wide Body
• Regional and Business Jet
• Freighter

By Size

• Small Aircraft
• Medium Aircraft
• Large Aircraft

By Application

• Passenger
• Cargo

Regional Coverage:

North America

• U.S.
• Canada
• Mexico
• Rest of North America

Europe

• Germany
• France
• U.K.
• Russia
• Italy
• Spain
• Netherlands
• Rest of Europe

Asia Pacific

• China
• Japan
• India
• New Zealand
• Australia
• South Korea
• Taiwan
• Rest of Asia Pacific

The Middle East & Africa

• Saudi Arabia
• UAE
• Egypt
• Kuwait
• South Africa
• Rest of the Middle East & Africa

Latin America

• Brazil
• Argentina
• Rest of Latin America