US Energy Transition Market 2025 – 2034

Reports Description

As per the US Energy Transition Market analysis conducted by the CMI team, the US energy transition market is expected to record a CAGR of 10.74% from 2025 to 2034. In 2025, the market size was USD 641.61 Billion. By 2034, the valuation is anticipated to reach USD 1605.52 Billion.

Overview

Energy transition in the US denotes switching to the adoption/implementation of renewable and low-carbon energy sources from fuel-based energy resources. It implies amendments in the production, distribution, and consumption of energy. The prime aspects pertaining to energy transition include improvement in energy security, addressing climate change, supporting sustenance, and lowering emissions of greenhouse gas.

As per the US Energy Information Administration, the year 2023 witnessed electricity generation of close to 4.18 Trillion kWh at utility-scale electricity generation facilities in the US, out of which 60% was from fossil fuels, especially natural gas, coal, petroleum, and the other gases. As such, it highlights the requirement for adopting renewable energy sources for diminishing the reliance on fossil fuels in the energy sector.

Key Trends & Drivers

• Technological Advancements and Conducive Public Policy

Demand, supply, advancements in technology, and feasible public policy are driving the transition to innovation-based energy transition. Energy transition is transforming the society in every aspect, right from pre-agricultural foraging to renewable energy-based megacities. With renewables and ancillary technologies poised to have a bright future, the US energy transition market is estimated to witness geometric progression during the forecast period.

In November 2022, Appalachian Power did add the third solar project to its energy portfolio based out of Virginia. It had gained clearance for 209 MW of solar and wind facilities and published RFPs for more than 1,500 MW of solar, wind, and battery storage.

• Government Initiatives Generating Job Opportunities

Energy transition/transformation is expected to result in a sizable number of job opportunities in the US For instance – In the US, building and strengthening the offshore wind sector is looked upon as a priority not just for contribution toward mitigation of climate change but also as having the capacity to employ 44,000 people by the year 2030.

Research states that solar and wind energy may help in decarbonizing close to 90% of electricity output. In February 2022, Southwestern Electric Power Company was on the verge of seeking permission from the authorities in Arkansas, Louisiana, and Texas to start with three clean energy projects totaling 999 MW. The project does involve investment worth USD 2.2 Billion in cost-effective, environmentally friendly resources.

What’s trending in the US Energy Transition Market?

The power & utility sector leads the US energy transition market, and the status quo is expected to remain unchanged during the forecast period. This could be reasoned with noticeable investments by the Federal government in transmission upgrades & renewable generation capacity and initiatives regarding the reduction of emissions by the major utility organizations. The utilities across the US are superheading energy transition by replacingnatural gas and coal facilities with wind projects, solar farms, and utility-scale battery storage. Such shifts are strongly supported by Renewable Portfolio Standards (RPS), decarbonization mandates, and integrated resource planning prioritizing low-carbon infrastructure.

Key Threats

• Higher Cost of Installation and Maintenance

Higher installation costs are actually acting as a deterrent to the US energy transition market. Bioenergy, hydropower, concentrated solar power, and geothermal expansion account for merely 11% of the global expansion of the energy transition market worldwide during the forecast period. Also, improvements in the power grids, installing solar and wind farms, and developing new technologies over the period of time need big capital investments. This factor may compel new entrants to give a second thought regarding the adoption of energy transition measures.

Opportunities

The US continues to integrate advanced digital grid systems, scalable energy storage, and vehicle-to-grid (V2G) solutions in order to improve system efficiency and flexibility. Expansion of energy-as-a-service (EaaS) models, distributed energy resources (DERs), and community solar programs are restructuring the way energy is generated and consumed.

Besides, the rising frequency of corporate procurement of renewable energy coupled with increasing demand for generation of energy at the local level does present potential for penetration.

Category Wise Insights

By Type

• Renewable Energy

Renewables inclusive of solar, geothermal, wind, and hydropower, are outshining the conventional sources, thereby accounting for more than 90% of newly installed capacity in the US Utility-scale wind and solar farms, along with expanding bioenergy and hydropower projects, are replacing fossil fuel-run projects. Research states that the year 2025 is bound to witness the generation of more than 20% of the US electricity on the whole, wherein it is expected to surpass coal for the very first time. Also, renewable energy projects are anticipated to create several jobs in installation, manufacturing, sales, engineering, and fields.

• Electrification

Electrification does replace usage of fossil fuels in sectors such as heating, transportation, and industrial processes by shifting to electric alternatives. This lowers greenhouse gas emissions. It has also been reported that EVs and heat pumps are generally more energy-efficient as compared to their fossil fuel counterparts, thereby resulting in conservation of energy. For instance, EVs convert a much higher percentage of energy into motion as compared to cars running on gasoline. Government regulations and policies do play a crucial role in accelerating as well as incentivizing adoption of the electric technologies.

• Energy Efficiency

Energy efficiency reduces the overall demand for energy, thereby lowering costs and improving energy security. Energy efficiency enhancements thus imply lowering of energy bills for the businesses, individuals, and industries. Such cost savings are capable of freeing up capital for the other investments, including the other facets of energy transition. The government is also increasingly implementing incentives and policies for promoting energy efficiency, such as tax rebates, credits, and building codes.

By Sector

• Power & Utility

The power & utility sector is handsomely investing in the renewable energy sources, thereby modernizing the grid. Digital technologies are also being integrated for managing grid better. Utilities are replacing natural gas and coal plants with renewable sources such as wind and solar. Smart meters, advanced analytics, and sensors are being integrated for optimizing grid performance, enhancing reliability, and enabling renewals of the renewables. Research states that the existing power lines containing advanced conductors are likely to quadruple by the year 2035.

• Transportation

Transportation sector is witnessing acceleration in the adoption of EVs, thereby reducing reliance on fossil fuels and lowering carbon emissions. Plus, extensive research is being conducted regarding the usage of alternative fuels such as synthetic fuels, biofuels, and hydrogen. They could offer pathways for decarbonizing several modes of transportation, including maritime and aviation. Also, incorporation of electric motors improves energy efficiency on the whole.

How are Technological Advancements and Collaborations Transforming the US Energy Transition Market?

The sales of EVs continue to rise, thereby catalyzing demand for electricity and pushing the need for the charging infrastructure. Plus, the increasing number of data centers, especially the ones driven by AI, is contributing toward the rise in demand for electricity. Collaborations amongst several stakeholders such as policy-makers, investors, and technology providers are aimed at mitigating the bottlenecks, such as supply chain issues, thereby driving the US energy transition market further.

Report Scope

Key Developments

The US energy transition market is witnessing a significant organic and inorganic expansion. Some of the key developments include –

• In March 2025, NextEra Energy, Inc. announced that it had invested USD 2 Trillion for expanding its portfolio comprising battery storage and renewable energy all across the US This initiative is inclusive of developing novel utility-scale solar farms in Florida and Texas along with deploying advanced energy storage systems for improving grid reliability. The strategic move does align with the commitment of the company toward decarbonization and acceleration of the country’s shift in the direction of clean electricity while lending support to the rising demand from corporate buyers and utilities for cost-effective, sustainable power solutions.

• In January 2023, Pacific Gas and Electric Company (PG&E), in collaboration with Energy Vault Holdings, Inc., did announce that they would be deploying a utility-scale battery with a green hydrogen long-duration energy storage system (BH-ESS) with a 293 MWh minimum of the dispatchable carbon-free energy.

Leading Players

The US energy transition market is highly competitive, with a large number of service providers globally. Some of the key players in the market include:

• NectEra Energy Inc.
• Tesla Inc.
• First Solar Inc.
• Enphase Energy Inc.
• Fluence Energy Inc.
• Plug Power Inc.
• Air Products & Chemicals Inc.
• General Electric Company (GE Vernova)
• Constellation Energy
• Brookfield Renewable Partners
• Others

These firms apply a plethora of strategies to enter the market, including innovations, mergers and acquisitions, and collaboration. The US energy transition market is shaped by the presence of diversified players that compete based on product innovation, vertical integration, and cost efficiency.

The US Energy Transition Market is segmented as follows:

By Type

• Renewable Energy
• Electrification
• Energy Efficiency

By Sector

• Power & Utility
• Transportation